Human Factors

The emergence and spread of infectious diseases, like COVID-19, are on the rise. Can you identify patterns between population density and COVID-19 cases and identify factors that could help predict hotspots of disease spread?

Analytics for Covid and Future Pandemics

Summary

Anvid focuses on improving public health response and quality of life of the people against pandemic in Latin America and Caribbean by predicting in a Map hotspots of the most influential factor in the spread of the virus from digital data of the space agencies. In order to redirect the country's resources and efforts to this factor to minimize the impacts of the pandemic.

How We Addressed This Challenge

The pandemic has taken us by surprise and it is difficult for the leaders of each nation to know which side of the problem you face first. Anvid, using Artificial Intelligence system and collecting data of the world, shows which is the most influential factor in the spread of the virus in your country. With this, leaders can focus on what is really important and they will not attack blindly. In order to invest and offer resources for the right sector in order and relevance that the app web shows in the map. Finally, in some countries where resources are limited, knowing what is the most relevant factor can make a huge difference in the spread of the virus!

How We Developed This Project

We are from Ecuador, one of the countries that had many problems while dealing with the pandemic. Our country was not prepared to face an outbreak, we had an unstable economy and a low budget. That is why we want to help other countries with the web application, so they can act in a timely manner and reduce the impact by directing efforts towards the factor that most influences the spread of the virus.

Additionally, we were able to empathize with the other countries from Latin America and Caribe, knowing their realities and needs. At the same time, it will provide leaders with a data-driven tool offered by space agencies so they can support their decisions and direct all efforts at the weakest points. Aiming to counter and cope with the pandemic.

In the first instance we organize the data, then we generate a graph of it, according to the countries, dates and the factors that determine the increase or decrease in cases of covid-19. Later, implement statistical calculations powered by machine learning for more accurate predictions in the web app.

Some tools that we use to develop the project are:

  • HTML
  • CSS
  • JAVASCRIPT
  • PYTHON
  • AWS (Amazon Web Services)
  • Adobe premiere (for the edition of the video)
  • Illustrator (logo design process, publicity)
  • Microsoft teams (meetings)

Initially we had problems with the collection of information. Subsequently, with the process of empathy with the user by correctly identifying their needs. Finally, these problems were solved with teamwork.

The future of the project

In the future, we plan to extend the data to the rest of the world to identify possible new cases or new pandemics.

Our plan:

  • Step 1 (Implement)

Develop the algorithm in Latin America and Caribbean using the Datasets from the Space Agencies.

  • Step 2 (Train Model)

Using the DATA we can train the model for more precise prediction.

  • Step 3 (Expand)

Improve the Dataset for more Regions in our Planet.

Data & Resources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, State of the Climate: Global Climate Report for April 2020, published online May 2020, retrieved on May 31, 2020 from https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/202004.

NASA Earth Science Division.(2020). NASA Probes Environment, COVID-19 Impacts, Possible Links. Retrieved from:https://www.nasa.gov/feature/nasa-probes-environment-covid-19-impacts-possible-links/

Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center. (2020, March 30). Global Covid-19 viewer: Population estimates by age group and sex. Retrieved from: https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/mapping/popest/covid-19/

GISTEMP Team, 2020: GISS Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP), version 4. NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies. Dataset accessed 2020-05-30 at https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/.

Google Developers. (2020) .ERA5 Daily aggregates - Latest climate reanalysis produced by ECMWF / Copernicus Climate Change Service. Retrieved from:https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/ECMWF_ERA5_DAILY?fbclid=IwAR3m4CekBs_zzGHPL3TowbwffVEOC4lXeMnbmhlFeRx7tOLMXQalk27vZqc

Giovanni. (2020). Earth Data .Retrieved from:https://giovanni.gsfc.nasa.gov/giovanni/?fbclid=IwAR0Vc7YYdQIG3a7YbBfPQLZb2_XNDY4UlDBZ14EJm8Wuu0aCZRdRQa0gD4E

National Aeronautics and Space Administration. (2020). EOSDIS Worldview .Retrieved from:https://worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/

National Aeronautics and Space Administration. (2020). Earth Data .Retrieved from:https://urs.earthdata.nasa.gov/oauth/authorize?response_type=code&client_id=OLp

Our World in Data. (2020, March 30). Daily new confirmed COVID-19 cases: Coronavirus pandemic Data Explorer. Retrieved from:https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?tab=map&yScale=log&zoomToSelection=true&casesMetric=true&dailyFreq=true&aligned=true&smoothing=7&country=BRA~MEX~CHL~COL~AIA~ATG~ABW~BHS~BRB~BLZ~BMU~BOL~CRI~CUB~DOM~ECU~SLV~DMA~GRD~GTM~GUY~HTI~HND~JAM~MSR~NIC~PAN~PRY~PER~PRI~KNA~VCT~LCA~SUR~TTO~URY~VEN

Our World in Data. (2020, March 30). Coronavirus (COVID-19) Testing. Retrieved from:https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-testing

World Bank. (2020). Life expectancy to born. Retrieved from:http://api.worldbank.org/v2/es/indicator/SP.DYN.LE00.IN?downloadformat=csv

World Bank. (2020). Population density (person per kilometer). Retrieved from:http://api.worldbank.org/v2/es/indicator/EN.POP.DNST?downloadformat=csv

World Bank. (2020). Urban population (% from the total). Retrieved from:http://api.worldbank.org/v2/es/indicator/SP.URB.TOTL.IN.ZS?downloadformat=csv

World Bank. (2020).Unemployment, total (% of the total of active population):http://api.worldbank.org/v2/es/indicator/SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS?downloadformat=csv

World Bank. (2020). Proportion of youth without education, employment or training, total (% of the total youth population). Retrieved from: http://api.worldbank.org/v2/es/indicator/SL.UEM.NEET.ZS?downloadformat=csv

World Bank. (2020). Poverty headcount ratio at $3.20 a day (2011 PPP) (% of population): http://api.worldbank.org/v2/en/indicator/SI.POV.LMIC?downloadformat=csv

World Bank. (2020). Gini index. Retrieved from:http://api.worldbank.org/v2/es/indicator/SI.POV.GINI?downloadformat=csv

World Bank. (2020). External health expenditure (% of current health expenditure). Retrieved from:http://api.worldbank.org/v2/es/indicator/SH.XPD.EHEX.CH.ZS?downloadformat=csv

World Bank. (2020). Public spending in education, total (% GDP). Retrieved from: http://api.worldbank.org/v2/es/indicator/SE.XPD.TOTL.GD.ZS?downloadformat=csv

World Bank. (2020). Gross savings (% GDP). Retrieved from:http://api.worldbank.org/v2/es/indicator/NY.GNS.ICTR.ZS?downloadformat=csv

IDB. (2020). The IDB Group in response to Coronavirus (COVID - 19). Retrieved from:https://www.iadb.org/es/coronavirus


Tags
#technology #data #pandemic #covid #map #interactive #networking #safe #life #app #web #Anvid #AnalyticsCovid19 #HumanFactorsChallenge #NasaSpaceApps #coding #dataset #covid-19 #AI-ALGORITHM
Global Judging
This project was submitted for consideration during the Space Apps Global Judging process.