Human Factors

The emergence and spread of infectious diseases, like COVID-19, are on the rise. Can you identify patterns between population density and COVID-19 cases and identify factors that could help predict hotspots of disease spread?

The Aurora Project

Summary

Using data in order to describe and predict human factors that influence the spread of COVID-19, and thus show the possibility of early action in these scenarios that involves entire populations, with the importance of minimizing the number of incidences and prevalence of the virus.

How We Addressed This Challenge

Within the challenge, our project performed very well because, through consolidated data and using the resources provided, the team managed to develop an idea whose social impact is very strong, proposing a solution for the current scenario of humanity, the coronavirus.

How We Developed This Project

Collections, cleaning and structuring of databases were carried out which will be relevant to determine the most impacting correlation factors that describe the curve of cases of people infected by COVID-19. With 'Cases by Counties' data, graphs were generated that describe the number of cases in time by county. In addition, it was possible to apply regression models for the Alachua counties, which obtained an accuracy of 98.5% for the linear regression model and 99.2% for the polynomial regression model, and Miami-Dade, which obtained an accuracy of 97.9% for the linear regression model and 98.2% for the polynomial regression model. This, with the intention of developing predictive models for the cases of COVID-19, predictions which could be justified by the correlation factors that were chosen, once the project continues to evolve. Still, the prediction model that would possibly help in decision making, can be further improved by using resources such as SEDAC, Earth Data and Black Marble, which would add new correlation factors, illuminating the possible causes of incidence and prevalence of the pandemic.

Project Demo

https://youtu.be/BEuhOo0erVw

Data & Resources

EARTH DATA, BLACK MARBLE and SEDAC.

Tags
#covid-19 #quality #aurora #irradiating #knowledge #datascience #dataanalysis
Global Judging
This project was submitted for consideration during the Space Apps Global Judging process.