Human Factors

The emergence and spread of infectious diseases, like COVID-19, are on the rise. Can you identify patterns between population density and COVID-19 cases and identify factors that could help predict hotspots of disease spread?

Covice-19

Summary

Our challenge is to identify human factors to predict the impacts of COVID-19 across the World. We are developing a web application to analyse already available data, in order to tell what characteristics influence the most in the spread of the virus. This way, those weighed factors can help administrators to direct resources to fight the disease as efficiently as possible, identifying possible regions at risk.

How We Addressed This Challenge

Not only do we use data influenced by human actions, like population, isolation rate, and the number of available ICU beds, but also, our application is capable of predicting the severity of Covid-19 in countries. Therefore,  our mission is to identify at-risk regions and predict the condition at different places.

How We Developed This Project

As IT students we were very interested in analysing and forecasting data related to COVID-19. We believe information about diseases should be shared easily to everyone and, with this mindset, we developed our project about it. We did not participate with winning in mind. Instead, we were all in this for the experience and the challenge.

In order to develop this project, we separated our team in three duos. The first was responsible for the front-end development, the second developed the back-end and a third with focused on acquiring, using and interpreting data. By the end, we broke the pairs to DESPERATELY finalize the development.

We used data from reliable sources, including some recommended by NASA (such as John Hopkins’ University). However, we didn’t use space agency data directly.

We used HTML, CSS and JavaScript for front-end. As for back-end, we used a Python webservice with Flask, as well as libraries associated with statistics, such as pandas, matplotlib and seaborn. The webservice was hosted in Amazon (AWS), and the website was hosted in Firebase. Visual Studio Code and Jupyter were very useful when coding.

We had a hard time finding data related to our objectives(geographic data like demographic density,  Covid-19 cases and deaths) and APIs to manage this archives. Although, after a lot of effort we were capable of acquiring data and using it to predict possible problems around the world.

Project Demo

https://youtu.be/ZU4UpMRkkXE

Data & Resources
  1. World Bank (Data)
    1. Hospital beds (per 1,000 people)
    2. Population ages 65 and above (% of total population)
    3. Population density (people per sq. km of land area)
    4. Urban population (% of total population)
  2. Our World in Data
    1. Covid-19 total cases per million
  3. Johns Hopkins Whiting School and Engineering
    1. Covid-19 confirmed cases
    2. Covid-19 confirmed deaths
Tags
#human-factors, #datascience, #machine learning, #artificial intelligence, #simulation
Global Judging
This project was submitted for consideration during the Space Apps Global Judging process.