An Integrated Assessment

Your challenge is to integrate various Earth Observation-derived features with available socio-economic data in order to discover or enhance our understanding of COVID-19 impacts.

BRAZA Breath

Summary

The strong infectivity and difficult detection of COVID-19 have led to the development of an epidemic environment with delayed public policy response in many countries around the world. One of the reasons for this late response was the premise that the spread dynamic of the SAR-CoV-2 was slower or null in tropical environments. This relation was not totally supported by the medical literature. Further, this situation requires better data analysis to allow better. Our solution is the development of a platform that correlates transmission of and deaths caused by SARS-CoV-2 and NASA climate datasets to provide a reliable source of information to support the government's decision and actions.

How We Addressed This Challenge

Our project integrates the NASA climate maps: NO2 Total, Surface Temperature, and Relative Humidity at Surface with John Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center dataset about the transmission of and deaths caused by SARS-CoV-2 in order to comprehend the impact of climate and the spread dynamic providing support for the prevention and improve public decisions and actions

How We Developed This Project

- Challenge

Our challenge is to integrate various EO-derived features with available and/or derived socio-economic data in various ways in order to discover or enhance our understanding of COVID-19 impacts.

- Background

COVID-19 is characterized in Brazil as an infectious disease with strong infectivity and difficult detection, which has led to the rapid development of an epidemic environment with inefficiency and delay in public policies. One of the reasons for this late response of the Brazilian public institutions was the premise that the spread dynamic of the SAR-CoV-2 was slower in tropical environments. Besides the constant and categorical affirmation of this idea by Brazilian congressmen, the relation between climate data and virus transmission is not totally supported by the medical literature. This situation requires better data analysis to allow an efficient supply of information about the spread dynamics and its relation with temperature and humidity to provide support for the prevention and improve public decisions and actions.

- Our solution

We idealized a platform that correlates transmission of and deaths caused by SARS-CoV-2 provided by the John Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center with NASA climate maps generating data that could predict the impact of weather variables in the disease spread. This project could provide indications of the success of public policies through time, generate reliable data to identify clusters of contagious based on climate data, therefore, improving the distribution of financial resources and support public decisions. This platform has as stakeholders the governments and private companies that deal with decisions based on the spread of COVID-19.

- NASA Resources

  1. NO2 Total (30% Cloud Screened) (OMNO2d v003)
  2. Surface Temperature (Daytime/Ascending, AIRS-onl) (AIRS3STD v006)
  3. Relative Humidity at Surface (Daytime/Ascending, AIRS-only) (AIRS3STD v006)

- Overview of our build

The platform uses 2 data sets:

  1. NO2 Total (30% Cloud Screened) (OMNO2d v003)
  2. Surface Temperature (Daytime/Ascending, AIRS-onl) (AIRS3STD v006)
  3. Relative Humidity at Surface (Daytime/Ascending, AIRS-only) (AIRS3STD v006)

Presentation

https://drive.google.com/file/d/19gFkaU7uWTYcX6U4sVhkCN_UT2k0XytS/view?usp=sharing

Results

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1cGGgPrisSapI84MNOQ_x1WCtXIsCRAR9/view?usp=sharing

https://github.com/rahyanazin/losbuenos

Deaths Vs. NO2 Emission

https://images.spaceappschallenge.org/stream-images/TIEh3PnXnYRyYOmkmiZAVgCV_3I=/7563/width-800/

Deaths Vs. Weather

https://images.spaceappschallenge.org/stream-images/9pclBzqG1QgMavgrC0FadyB38jg=/7562/width-800/

In order to understand the spread of Covid-19, we clustered the most impacted 20 countries by weather (temperature and humidity) and production of NO2 (as a proxy of the effectivity of lockdown) and plotted to reach out to the impact of these variables in the spread of Covid-19 for the first 70 days of the disease. We conclude that the lockdown is related to the decrease of deaths by COVIS-19, besides wet countries are the most impacted ones.

- Impact

We generated the correlation model

Through the data generated, we could:

  • Predict the efficiency of public policies based on climate propositions
  • Effects of temperature and humidity in the transmission of and deaths caused by SARS-CoV-2
  • Identify contagious groups

- Future Plans

In the present moment, our project deals with the generation and analysis of past data. Our propose is to develop a platform that generates real-time data that could increase the mechanisms of disease spread predictions. Further, delivery to the Brazilian government a more reliable source of data to the prevention of new cases. Lastly, we hope to help the prediction of the infection through time and space in Brazil and be useful in the elaboration of better decisions.

Data & Resources

- NASA Resources

  1. NO2 Total (30% Cloud Screened) (OMNO2d v003)
  2. Surface Temperature (Daytime/Ascending, AIRS-onl) (AIRS3STD v006)
  3. Relative Humidity at Surface (Daytime/Ascending, AIRS-only) (AIRS3STD v006)

- John Hopkins Coronavirus Resource CenterTransmission of and deaths caused by SARS-CoV-2:

https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19

Tags
#climate #publicpolicy #coronavirus #covid #corona #stayhome #quarantine #socialdistancing #staysafe #virus #coronavirusoutbreak #coronaviruspandemic #coronavirusitalianews #coronaviruschile #coronaviruschina #coronavirus2020 #coronavirustime #coronavirusfrance #coronavirusnews #coronavirusupdate #coronavirusbrazil #brazil #SaoPaulo #RiodeJaneiro #a
Global Judging
This project was submitted for consideration during the Space Apps Global Judging process.