Human Factors

The emergence and spread of infectious diseases, like COVID-19, are on the rise. Can you identify patterns between population density and COVID-19 cases and identify factors that could help predict hotspots of disease spread?

The Five Covid-19 Fighters

Summary

We identifed key human factors that may have caused the spread of Covid-19, and provided policy recommendations, through data analytics and modeling of the urbanization level, population density, Covid-19 policies (stay-at-home order, gathering ban, school closure, etc), unemployment rate and more.

How We Addressed This Challenge

1. Data research: We used NASA related data sources and found correlations of various human factors and the spread of Covid-19.

2. Data visualization: We built data visualization to see the trends of Covid-19 before and after implementing different policies in different states.

3. Data modeling: We created models to find what policy factors are significantly important.

4. Insights: Based on data visualization and models, we gave proposals and predictions.

How We Developed This Project

Inspiration: we feel human factors could be important indicators for the covid-19 spread and the analysis could lead to insightful discovery 

Approach: we look for data, analyze and clean the data, and then build visualization and modelling

Tools/software: we used Python, R, Tableau for data visualization, and built machine learning/deep learning-based prediction models such as Ridge regression and XGB.

Challenges

1. Communication in the virtual environment created a lot of challenges for teamwork

2. Discussion within limited time in a brand-new team made it difficult to reach team consensus

3. The vast data resources made it hard to find useful data

Achievements

1. We built a data model prototype that streamlines data analytics, integration and visualization.

2. We identified major policy factors that have a significant impact on coronavirus spread. For example, gathering ban is correlated to the Covid-19 trend.

3. We found the higher urbanization, the more coronavirus cases. 

4. We discovered gathering ban has the best effect among all policies.

5. We noticed that the unemployment population has a positive relationship with confirmed Covid-19 cases.

Future Work:

This working prototype can be further enhanced to provide more capable analytics/prediction assistance for policy making in fighting Covid-19.


Tags
#human factors #policies #population density #urbanization #covid-19 trends
Global Judging
This project was submitted for consideration during the Space Apps Global Judging process.